The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September is 48%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 52%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 48%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in November is 35.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 75 basis points in total is 49.3%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 100 basis points in total is 15.1%.