The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 72.5%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 72.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.5%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in November is 56.3%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 75 basis points in total is 37.6%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 100 basis points in total is 6.2%.