The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 64%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 64%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 36%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by a total of 50 basis points by November is 31.8%, the probability of a total of 75 basis points is 50.1%, and the probability of a total of 100 basis points is 18.1%.