The probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in September is 61%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 61.0%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 39.0%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in total by November is 48.5%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 75 basis points in total is 43.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 100 basis points in total is 8.0%.