According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 48%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 52%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by a cumulative 50 basis points by November is 30.2%, the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point cut is 50.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 100 basis point cut is 19.3%.