Musk wrote on X that the following is the early voting increment for Republicans minus Democrats in swing states before tomorrow (November 5). Voter turnout among Republicans is usually much higher than among Democrats on Election Day, so any state currently leaning Republican in early voting is likely to side with Trump. Pennsylvania, while still leaning Democratic, had a high turnout on Election Day. If the number of people who voted in person for Trump this time is the same as last time, he will win by about 500,000 votes (a landslide).