Polymarket bettors said the January 6 protesters were more likely than Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road during Mr. Trump's second White House, to be pardoned, but the difference was not significant. Multimarket bettors put the January 6 protesters at 86 per cent and Ulbricht at 78 per cent. In addition to these two groups, bettors also gave him a 14% chance of pardoning himself and a 6% chance of pardoning Sam Bankman-Fried.