On December 11, according to the prediction market Polymarket data, the probability of Trump being selected as Time's Person of the Year in 2024 has risen to 80%, and Musk is second with a probability of 9%. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and US Vice President Harris ranked third and fourth with a probability of 7% and 2% respectively. The forecast market has a total trading volume of $428,000 and the deadline is December 31, 2024.