According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 99.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 0.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in March is 71.6%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 28.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 0.1%.