Greeks.live: Market confidence has recovered more than half, the main period IV has fallen compared with last week
Greeks.live macro researcher Adam released this week's blockbuster event (8/12-8/18) related information on the X platform: After a week of adjustment, the market has come out of the blow of the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike. The recent dovish remarks of the Bank of Japan have also given market confidence. Although the market is bearish news, the market sentiment is more optimistic this week. This week's macro focus returns to the US economic data. The probability of interest rate hikes in September continues to rise, which also gives the market some confidence. If this week's data gives the market confidence in interest rate hikes, the rebound will continue. This week's blockbuster event:
8/13
Trump gives Musk a blockbuster interview on Tuesday
US July PPI8/14 Wednesday US July CPI New Zealand Federal Reserve Rate Decision
8/15
The number of first-week jobless claims in the United States on Thursday
U.S. July Retail Sales Monthly Rate 2025 FOMC Voting Committee, St. Louis Federal Reserve President Musalem Addresses U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy
8/16
On Friday, the 2024 FOMC voting committee and Richmond Federal Reserve President Barkin participated in a fireside chat. The Democratic Party of the United States launched the "CryptoforHarris" campaign to counter Trump's crypto market outlook: After a week of panic, market confidence has been restored by more than half, so the main term IV has fallen back compared to last week. At present, IV is relatively high, and there is still obvious downward pressure this week. The cryptocurrency market has maintained a broad and volatile trend since March, with ETH relatively depressed and the exchange rate falling sharply.