The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 68%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 68%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 32%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in November is 48.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 75 basis points in total is 42.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 100 basis points in total is 9.1%.