The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 59%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 59.0%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 41.0%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in November is 34.2%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 75 basis points in total is 48.6%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 100 basis points in total is 17.3%.