Before the release of non-farm data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September was 57%.

According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 57%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 43%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in November is 30.4%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 75 basis points in total is 49.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 100 basis points in total is 20.1%.