The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25BP in November is 76.1%, and the probability of not cutting interest rates is 23.9%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of a 25 basis point cut by November is 76.1%, and the probability of keeping current interest rates unchanged is 23.9%. The probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut by December is 75.1%, the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point cut is 0%; the probability of a cumulative 100 basis point cut is 0%.