The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25BP in November is 87.7%, and the probability of not cutting interest rates is 12.3%.
According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting 25 basis points by November is 87.7%, and the probability of keeping current interest rates unchanged is 12.3%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by December is 19.7%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 79.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point cut is 0%.