12:00-21:00 Keywords: Election, ETH/BTC, Polymarket, Trump 1. The landing schedule of the previous 7 US Presidential Elections shows that the results will be released on the night 3-4 times; 2. The pre-election "shutdown" poll shows Harris leading Trump by 4 percentage points; 3. US election forecasting agency: Democrats will win the House of Representatives by one vote. 4. QCP Capital: Bitcoin is expected to fluctuate by about 3.5% on election night, and the market may have underestimated the risk after the election. 5. Trump Media Technology Group (DJT. O) rose more than 8% in premarket trading. 6. The probability of Trump winning the election on Polymarket rebounded to 61.5%; 7. Musk: Trump will win Pennsylvania by about 500,000 votes.