According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 83.5%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 25 basis points is 16.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 59.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 36.0%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 4.8%.