According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 95.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 4.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 78.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 20.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.8%.